SMCI Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-25
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SMCI Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-25)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals show neutral-to-slightly bearish short-term on the M5 chart (price below 10-EMA) but bullish on daily (above 10-EMA, bullish MACD crossover). RSI neutral on M5, mildly overbought on daily; Bollinger Bands tight on M5 (possible breakout), widening on daily (increased volatility). Market sentiment mixed: falling VIX but still elevated; earnings expectations modest. Max pain at $33.00 suggests a pull toward that level by expiry. Recommends a moderately bullish bias; trade: buy $35.50 call at $0.47, profit target $0.94, stop-loss $0.235, confidence 70%.
Gemini/Google Report
Daily chart strongly bullish (price above key EMAs, bullish MACD, rising RSI); M5 chart consolidating below resistance at ~$36. VIX declining supports risk-on; analysts neutral to slightly positive; earnings preview muted. 0DTE max pain ($33) is a strong bearish headwind for today’s expiry. Directional bias: Neutral/Unclear; no trade recommended (confidence 35%).
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals bullish on both 5-min (above EMAs) and daily (above 10-EMA, positive MACD, rising RSI). Market sentiment slightly positive; VIX falling; earnings forthcoming but no strong catalysts. Options data shows heavy OI in $36 calls; max pain mismatch less relevant. Recommends buying the $36.00 call for $0.24 (0DTE), profit target $0.48, stop-loss $0.12, confidence 65%.