SMCI Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-03-25
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SMCI Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-03-25)
Below is a synthesized view of the five reports and the resulting recommendation.
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Model-by-Model Summary
• Grok/xAI Report – Technicals on the 5‑minute chart show the price near the lower Bollinger Band with oversold RSI; however, the daily chart is mixed (price above 50‑day EMA yet below the 10‑ and 200‑day EMAs). – Market sentiment is ambiguous with mixed news and a max pain at $41. – Conclusion: The indicators are too mixed and neutral, so no trade is recommended.
• Gemini/Google Report – Technicals indicate a short‑term bearish trend on the 5‑minute chart (price below moving averages and near the lower Bollinger Band) while daily levels are mixed. – Sentiment is mixed but with declining volatility (VIX ~17.15) and max pain at $41 suggesting a slight support near current price. – Conclusion: A moderately bearish view is assigned, and the model recommends buying a put option (suggested trade: $38 put at an approximate premium of $0.54).
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Price is below key EMAs on the 5‑minute chart, with short‑term RSI near oversold and price hugging the low Bollinger Band. Daily indicators show some neutral momentum but with a bearish tilt over the long run. – News sentiment is mixed/negative and option chain data and max pain support a downside view. – Conclusion: Moderately bearish bias, with a recommendation to buy a $39 put option (premium ~0.83) expiring at week’s end.
• DeepSeek Report – On the 5‑minute chart, price is below the EMAs and testing the lower Bollinger band, while on the daily chart the price lies in a narrow range between $38.90 and $40.90. – Sentiment is mixed and the technical picture is not definitive. – Conclusion: The signals are unclear; the report recommends no trade today while suggesting monitoring for a clear break above or below key levels.
• Llama/Meta Report – Technical analysis confirms the price is below all key moving averages on both timeframes. The RSI and Bollinger Bands indicate a slightly bearish tilt. – Sentiment is also leaning toward bearish, as evidenced by the put‑oriented open interest and max pain at $41. – Conclusion: With a moderately bearish bias, this report recommends buying a $39 put option (premium around $0.83) at market open.