SMH Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-18

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SMH Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-18)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report • Technicals – SMH at $246.42, strong 5-day gain (+10.3%), price above EMAs on 5-min and daily charts – Daily RSI very overbought (77.96) but MACD supports momentum – Key intraday support $245.90, resistance $246.54–$246.78 • Sentiment – VIX down at 17.24 (lower volatility), positive sector news – Call open interest peaked at $250 strike; max-pain at $235 • Trade Call – Buy $250 call expiring 5/23 at $2.80 ask – Profit target $5.00, stop $2.00, confidence 70%

Claude/Anthropic Report • Technicals – SMH strong uptrend (26% in 30 days), price above all EMAs, daily RSI overbought (77.96) – MACD positive, intraday consolidation • Sentiment – VIX falling, positive fund flows, max-pain $235, heavy call OI at $250 • Trade Call – Buy $257.50 call expiring 5/23 at $0.87 ask – Profit target $1.74, stop $0.43, confidence 65%

Llama/Meta Report • Technicals – Intraday bullish alignment, daily RSI overbought, widening Bollinger Bands – Consolidation around $246.40, support $245.90, resistance $249.44 • Sentiment – VIX down, positive ETF flows, max-pain $235 • Trade Call – Buy $257.50 call expiring 5/23 at $0.87 – Profit target +20%, stop −50%, confidence 70%