SOFI Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-03-27

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SOFI Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-03-27)

Below is a consolidated review of the five reports for SOFI weekly options trading, along with the final recommended trade details.

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Summary of Each Model’s Key Points

• Grok/xAI Report – Examined 5‐minute and daily charts. On the 5‑minute chart, price (around $12.50) is just above the very short‐term EMA but below longer-term MAs. On the daily chart the price is well below all key moving averages, with a decline from $13.72 to $12.51. – RSI readings near neutral in shorter timeframes and slightly low on the daily chart further support a downward bias. – News and options data (notably a heavy presence at the $12.50 strike and max pain at $13.50) point to moderately bearish sentiment. – Recommendation: Buy a naked put at the $12.50 strike (using a $0.20 premium was suggested in the report).

• Gemini/Google Report – Analyzed both short‐term and daily price action. Found that the 5‐minute chart shows slightly bearish signals with price below key MAs, while the daily chart displays clear downtrends. – RSI levels (48.66 on the 5‑minute and 44.57 on the daily) point to a move toward oversold territory. – Even though max pain is at $13.50, heavy open interest on puts (especially around $12.50) reinforces a bearish view. – Recommendation: Buy a put option at the $12.50 strike despite some conflicting longer-term bullish signals.

• Claude/Anthropic Report – Reviewed moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands across both timeframes. Short-term charts are bearish (price below the 50 and 200 EMAs), while the daily chart shows a mix (price below the 50 but above the 200 EMA). – The market news (downgrades and skepticism on a $5B deal) and options open interest lean bearish. – The recommendation is slightly more aggressive by suggesting a put at the $12.00 level with a lower premium (around $0.06), aiming for a more favorable risk/reward from a deeper-out-of-the-money position.

• Llama/Meta Report – Confirmed that the stock’s price of approximately $12.50 is trading below key moving averages on both intraday and daily charts. – RSI and Bollinger Band readings support a moderately bearish perspective, with consistent resistance above $12.67. – With similar news catalysts (e.g., rating downgrades, doubts about the $5B deal), the recommendation is to trade a put – again suggesting a $12.00 strike to gain exposure to an anticipated move downward while keeping risk in check.

• DeepSeek Report – Detailed analysis shows a consistent picture: short-term and daily charts are bearish, with price well below its EMAs and near key support levels around $12.24–$12.50. – Volume, declining RSI, and bearish news signals all point toward further downside. – The trade recommendation is to buy ATM puts at the $12.50 strike at a premium around $0.20, with strict profit and stop-loss levels to manage risk until the weekly option expires.