SPX 0DTE Options Market Close Trade Plan 2025-05-29

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SPX 0DTE Analysis Summary (2025-05-29)

Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Neutral/unclear bias. Mixed EMAs, slight bearish on M1, bullish on daily. Recommends no trade due to lack of clear signal. Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish. M1/M5 MACD, resistance at 5905–5906, max pain at 5895 drive a put trade. Recommends buying the $5895 put at ~$4.20. Confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish. M1/M5 techs lean down, max pain at 5895. Recommends the $5890 put at ~$2.90 with standard risk management. Confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Moderately bearish. Strong M1 sell momentum, max pain gravity. Suggests buying the $5890 put at ~$2.90. Confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bullish. Sees oversold M1 RSI, bullish M5 MACD, daily support. Recommends buying the $5925 call at $0.85. Confidence 65%. Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Max pain at $5895 as a key magnet. • M1 indicators showing bearish momentum into the close. • The need for a naked single-leg trade. Disagreement: • DeepSeek is bullish, all others are neutral or bearish. • Grok sees too much conflict to trade; others see a clear edge. • Strike choice varies: $5895 vs. $5890 puts, or a $5925 call. Conclusion Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish for today’s close. Recommended Trade: Buy SPX 0DTE $5890 Put • Rationale: Aligns with majority bearish thesis, max pain pull, confirmed M1 momentum. • Expiry: 2025-05-29 0DTE • Premium: Aim to buy at $2.90 (ask) – bid $2.80. • Entry Timing: At market close. • Profit Target: $5.00 (if SPX settles ≈5885) • Stop Loss: $1.75 (40% of premium) • Size: 1 contract Confidence: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Possible oversold bounce (M5 MACD bullish divergence). • Falling VIX may support a late uptick. • Price pin at max pain can leave the put near worthless if SPX pins tightly at $5895. • End-of-day gamma may trigger choppy moves.