SPX 0DTE Options Premarket 2025-05-15
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SPX 0DTE Analysis Summary (2025-05-15)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Strongly bullish across 1-min, 5-min, and daily charts (price above EMAs, positive MACD, neutral-bullish RSI). VIX falling, call OI high. Recommends buying the 5945 call at $0.65, target $0.78, stop $0.52, 70% confidence. Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bullish on all timeframes (above EMAs, RSI ~57, positive MACD). Falling VIX supports upside, but max pain at 5825 is a late-day risk. Recommends buying the 5940 call at $0.85, targeting $1.27–1.70, stop $0.51, 68% confidence. Llama/Meta: Neutral/unclear bias. Mixed lower-timeframe bullish momentum vs. daily overbought RSI and proximity to upper Bollinger Band. Suggests no trade due to lack of conviction. Gemini/Google: Moderately bullish. Short-term pullback set up for renewed upside; price above all EMAs and falling VIX supportive; daily RSI overbought but M1 RSI cooled. Recommends buying the 5950 call at ~$0.55, targeting $1.10–1.30, stop $0.25, 65% confidence. DeepSeek: Neutral/unclear. Fading 1-min momentum, overbought daily RSI, max pain far below spot. No trade recommendation, 55% confidence. Agreement & Disagreement Agreement: Most see short-term bullish bias (price above EMAs, positive MACD, falling VIX). Call OI is heavy and liquidity is strong in the 5940–5965 strikes. Disagreement: Two models (Llama, DeepSeek) view the set-up as too conflicted (daily overbought, max pain drag) and recommend standing aside. Three models favor a long call (strikes 5940, 5945, 5950). Divergence on strike selection and risk parameters (entry price, profit targets, stop losses differ). Conclusion & Trade Plan Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bullish for today’s 0DTE session. Recommended Trade: Buy a single-leg naked call on SPX 0DTE. Strike: 5950 Call; Ask = $0.55; fits preferred premium range for leverage and liquidity. Expiry: 2025-05-15 (0DTE) Entry Timing: At market open Premium Target: 1.10 (≈100% gain) Stop Loss: 0.25 (≈55% drawdown) Position Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 0.68 Key Risks: • Max Pain at 5825 may exert late-day pullback pressure • Daily RSI overbought, nearing resistance at 5906 • Fed-related news or sudden volatility spikes (VIX reversal) • Theta decay accelerates if move stalls