SPX 0DTE Options Trade Plan 2025-05-15
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SPX 0DTE Analysis Summary (2025-05-15)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Strongly bullish on 0DTE SPX. 1-minute and daily charts bullish; falling VIX supports upside. Recommends buying the $5945 call at $0.60 for open-of-day. Confidence 85%. Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bullish but mixed signals. Technicals are conflicted across timeframes, resistance overhead, max pain at $5825 is a bearish anchor. No trade due to <75% conviction. Confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Neutral/unclear. Bullish 1-minute vs bearish 5-minute and overbought daily plus max pain headwind. Recommends no trade. Confidence 68%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish. Mixed intraday technicals, strong max pain pull to $5825 outweighs upside. Recommends buying the $5825 put at $1.50, but flagged as moderate conviction. Gemini/Google: Neutral/unclear. Strong daily trend and M1 bounce vs max pain and 5-minute weakness. No trade at open; waits for clearer setup. Confidence <50%. Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: All cite strong daily uptrend but overbought RSI; conflicting intraday signals (bullish on M1 vs weak on M5); max pain at $5825 creates bearish gravitational pull; VIX is low. Disagreement: Grok is the lone strong bull advocating a $5945 call. Llama is the lone bear favoring a $5825 put. Others conclude mixed or moderate tones and recommend no trade. Conclusion and Recommendation Overall Market Direction: Neutral/Unclear Consensus: Immediate bias is conflicted—bullish momentum on ultra-short timeframe vs bearish max pain influence and mixed higher-timeframe signals. Recommended Trade: No trade at open. Expiration: N/A (0DTE only) Confidence: ~40% (insufficient for a strong directional 0DTE play) Key Risks and Considerations: • Max pain at $5825, ~57 points below spot, exerts significant downward pull • Daily RSI is overbought, increasing pullback risk • Resistance cluster around $5885–$5888 on M1/M5 charts • Mixed 1-minute vs 5-minute technicals; potential whipsaw