SPY 0DTE Options Trade Plan 2025-05-19

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SPY 0DTE Analysis Summary (2025-05-19)

Model Summaries • Grok/xAI: Strong intraday bullish momentum across M1, M5, and daily charts. Overbought RSI noted but outweighed by MACD and EMAs. Recommends buying the $596 call at $0.99, targeting a 50% gain and a stop at –30%. Confidence 70%. • Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish. Daily RSI overbought, max pain at $592, recent negative headlines. Recommends buying the $590 put at $0.66 with a 100% profit target ($1.30) and stop-loss at $0.40. Confidence 65%. • Llama/Meta: Slightly bearish bias due to overbought daily RSI and max pain gravity. Suggests a cautious put play—buy $591 put at $0.85—with 50% profit target and full premium stop. Confidence 65%. • DeepSeek: Neutral/No-Trade. Finds conflicting signals between short-term bull momentum and daily overextension plus max pain magnet. Confidence 55%—below threshold for a trade. • Gemini/Google: Moderately bearish driven by the Moody’s U.S. rating cut, overbought daily RSI, and max pain at $592. Recommends buying the $590 put at ~$0.66 with a 100% profit target ($1.32) and 50% stop ($0.33). Confidence 60%.

Agreement vs. Disagreement • Agreement: All models note strong short-term bullish momentum but also an overbought daily RSI and the pull of max pain at $592. Most cite negative news (Moody’s downgrade) as a bearish catalyst. Liquidity is sufficient at the $590–$596 strikes. • Disagreement: Grok overweights intraday technicals and buys calls. DeepSeek deems the setup too conflicted to trade. Others lean bearish and favor puts.