SPY Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-12
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SPY Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-12)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: SPY above 20-day EMA but below 50-day EMA; daily RSI ~61, near upper Bollinger Band; MACD bullish; support at $556, resistance at $567–$570. Sentiment: VIX falling (~21.9), positive U.S.-China news, high call OI above current price, max pain at $559. View: Moderately bullish but caution toward overbought near-term. Trade: Buy May 23 $580 call @ $6.70; profit target $585, stop if SPY < $570 or 20% premium loss; confidence 75%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: SPY $579 above all key EMAs on 15m/daily/weekly, daily MACD strong, 15m RSI overbought. Sentiment: VIX downtrend, trade-deal news, max pain $559, high OI at $600 call and $550 put. View: Moderately bullish with near-term overbought risk. Trade: Buy May 23 $600 call @ $0.69; target +100% ($1.38), stop 40% loss ($0.41), exit by May 21; confidence 75%.
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong M15 and daily uptrend, 15m RSI ~78 overbought, resistance at $580–$582. Sentiment: VIX easing, positive trade news, max pain $559 but outweighed by momentum. View: Moderately bullish. Trade: Buy May 23 $600 call @ $0.65–$0.75; profit 100% ($1.30–$1.50) with partial at 50%; stop 50% premium or SPY < $577; hold 5–8 days; confidence 75%.