SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-05
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SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-05)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report • Technicals: SPY at $595.92 is below its 10-period EMA on the 5-min chart but above the 200-EMA; 5-min RSI is 19.45 (oversold); price near lower Bollinger Band; MACD bearish. • Sentiment: VIX 17.61 trending down; mixed news on Trump-Xi; open interest concentrated at $600 calls and $585 puts; max pain at $587 suggests downside. • Bias: Moderately bearish. • Trade: Buy 2025-06-06 $587 put at $0.72, target move to $587 or lower, stop above $596.94; confidence 70%.
Claude/Anthropic Report • Technicals: 5-min RSI 19.45 oversold vs daily RSI 68.7; price below all EMAs on 5-min but above daily 10-EMA; Bollinger Bands support short-term mean reversion; MACD negative on 5-min and weakening on daily. • Sentiment: VIX falling, news initially bullish but AAII sentiment down, high option flow at $600 calls and $585–590 puts; max pain $587 ~1.5% below spot. • Bias: Moderately bearish. • Trade: Buy $588 put at $0.86, profit targets at $1.30 and $2.00, stop‐loss $0.60; confidence 72%.
Llama/Meta Report • Technicals: 5-min chart bullish (price above EMAs) but RSI severely oversold; daily chart bullish but MACD crossover bearish; mixed short- vs medium-term signals. • Sentiment: VIX normal; fades of bullish news intraday are bearish; max pain $587 points downwards pressure. • Bias: Moderately bullish but low confidence due to conflicting signals. • Trade: Buy $602 call at $0.94, target +50% premium, stop if SPY < $593; confidence 70%.
Gemini/Google Report • Technicals: 5-min chart bearish momentum with oversold RSI; daily uptrend intact but MACD bearish crossover; price gap down from futures high. • Sentiment: VIX falling, news faded, max pain $587 introduces downward pull; open interest heavy at $600 calls and $585 puts. • Bias: Neutral/No trade – too mixed, waits for bounce and reaction. • Trade: None.
DeepSeek Report • Technicals: 5-min trend bearish with high volume capitulation; RSI 19.45 oversold; daily uptrend showing exhaustion; MACD negative. • Sentiment: VIX low; mixed news; max pain $587 and heavy put OI at $585–588 create strong downside magnet. • Bias: Moderately bearish. • Trade: Buy $587 put at $0.72, profit targets at $1.44 and $1.80, stop $0.36; confidence 75%.