SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-12

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SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-12)

Model Summaries

• Grok/xAI – Technicals: SPY at $581.78, above 10- and 50-period EMAs, RSI ~63, MACD bullish but weakening. – Sentiment: VIX falling, positive US-China news. Max pain at $550 deemed irrelevant short term. – Direction: Moderately bullish. – Trade: Buy the $594 call (premium $0.75) at open; 50% profit target ($1.13), 20% stop-loss ($0.60); end-of-day exit. – Confidence: 70%.

• Claude/Anthropic – Technicals: Price above key MAs, RSI moderate, MACD bullish on daily. Resistance at $581.73–$582.43, support at $579.24. – Sentiment: VIX falling, bullish news, heavy call OI at $590–$596. – Direction: Moderately bullish. – Trade: Buy the $594 call (premium $0.75) weekly; target +80% ($1.35), stop 40% ($0.45); two-day max hold. – Confidence: 75%.

• Gemini/Google – Technicals: Strong M5 uptrend, price near upper Bollinger Band, slight MACD histogram pullback. Support $579–$580, resistance $582.43–$585. – Sentiment: VIX falling, bullish headlines, options flow skewed to higher-strike calls. – Direction: Moderately bullish. – Trade: Buy the $596 call (premium $0.53) at open; profit target 50–75% ($0.80–$0.93), stop-loss ~40% ($0.32); intraday exit. – Confidence: 70%.