TD Earnings Signal (2025-05-21)

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TD Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-21)

# Synthesis of Model Reports and TD Earnings Options Trade Plan

## 1. Model Summaries

**Grok/xAI Report** - Historical move: ~3.5% average post-earnings - Slight bullish bias (3/5 positive moves) - Elevated IV pre-earnings (75th percentile) with ~30% IV crush post-earnings - Unusual activity at $67.50 calls - **Recommendation**: Buy $67.50 calls (Jun 20) at $0.50, confidence 70%

**Claude/Anthropic Report** - Trading near 52-week high, strong technical momentum - Max pain $65, high OI at $67.50 calls - Moderately bullish bias, limited upside (RSI ~67) - **Recommendation**: Buy $65 calls (Jun 20) at $1.50, confidence 65%

**Llama/Meta Report** - Neutral volume trend, bullish skew in calls - Slightly higher IV than historical - Moderately bullish direction - **Recommendation**: Buy $67.50 calls (Jun 20) at $0.50, confidence 80%

**Gemini/Google Report** - Highlights severe “Audit Risk: 10/10” and AML departures - Bearish skew in puts, risk of regulatory fine or negative surprise - **Recommendation**: Buy $62.50 puts (Jun 20) at $0.75, confidence 65%