TGT Earnings Signal (2025-05-19)

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TGT Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-19)

# Synthesis of Earnings Models for TGT

## 1. Model Summaries

### Grok/xAI - Historical move ~5.47%, mixed directional surprises - Neutral/Unclear bias heading into earnings - Recommends buying the $98.00 call exp 5-23 at $4.80

### Claude/Anthropic - Technical downtrend, negative revenue growth est. (-3.1%) - High put open interest and bearish skew - Moderately Bearish outlook - Recommends buying the $90 put exp 5-23 at $1.81

### Llama/Meta - Mixed earnings history, neutral pre-earnings action - P/C skew to puts, slightly elevated IV - Moderately Bearish bias - Recommends buying the $97 put exp 5-23 at $4.60

### Gemini/Google - Technical weakness (below 50/200 DMAs), bearish options sentiment (P/C >1.5) - Revenue headwinds & tariff risks - Moderately Bearish view - Recommends buying the $90 put exp 5-23 at $1.81