TMF Stock Trading Plan 2025-06-22

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TMF Stock Trading Plan (2025-06-22)

Final Trading Decision

Comprehensive Summary of Each Model's Key Points

1. LM Report

Technical Setup: Mixed signals across time frames. The 30-minute chart shows neutral RSI (46.01), while daily and weekly indicators signal potential bearish momentum (MACD below the signal line). The weekly chart shows downward trend indicators. Market Sentiment: Mixed sentiment with an elevated VIX (20.62) that is trending downward, potentially indicating less volatility. Directional Bias: Moderately bearish, leaning towards short positions if the market opens bearish. Trade Plan: Short TMF at $37.20, with a target of $35.50 and a stop-loss at $38.15. Risk 2% of account size.

2. GK Report

Technical Analysis: TMF is in a downtrend, trading below long-term moving averages. Mixed signals in RSI readings; however, momentum is fading. MACD shows potential for a bearish crossover. Market Sentiment: Negative news impacts from the Fed decision to hold rates amid an increased inflation outlook, indicating downward pressure. Conclusion: Moderately bearish, recommending a short position with clearly defined targets and stop-losses. Trade Plan: Short at market open; targets at $36.20 with a stop-loss at $38.00, risking 1-2% of account size.