TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-06
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TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-06)
Below is a complete synthesis and our actionable recommendation based on the five reports:
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SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI Report – Technicals show TSLA trading below all key EMAs on both 5‑minute and daily charts. – Indicators (RSI below 40, price below lower Bollinger Band on M5) and recent heavy volume support a strong bearish bias. – Sentiment is torrid—with high VIX levels and negative news—pushing a call for bearish positioning via a naked put near the current price (around $235 strike). – Trade plan: Buy a naked put at $235 despite its premium being above the ideal range, with a risk-managed stop and profit target.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Returned an error (overloaded) and provided no analysis.
• Gemini/Google Report – Technical analysis confirms that TSLA is below key moving averages and RSI levels are weak on both 5‑minute and daily timeframes. – Volume spikes and extensive negative news (price target cuts, tariff fears) contribute to a strongly bearish view. – Options data (high put open interest, max pain at $260) further supports the bearish direction. – Recommends a trade using a naked put – specifically the $230 put expiring weekly (2025‑04‑11) with an entry premium around $9.90 and defined profit/stop levels.
• Llama/Meta Report – Technicals identify a downtrend on both charts with oversold RSI readings but note that oversold conditions could spark a bounce. – Mixed signals from support levels and the max pain target (near $260) lead to only a moderately bearish verdict. – The report ultimately advises no trade today because the market uncertainty (including the risk of a bounce) dampens confidence (about 55%).