TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-03-26
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TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-03-26)
Below is a summary of the five models’ reports, a discussion of where they agree and differ, and my overall conclusion with a specific trade recommendation.
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Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report: – Using very short‐term (5‑minute) charts, it finds strong bullish momentum (price above key EMAs and rising RSI) even though the daily chart shows mixed signals. – The options flow (high call volume) and relatively calm VIX add to the bullish short-term picture despite max pain at a lower level. – Recommendation: Buy a naked call at the $292.50 strike on TSLA (premium ~0.85), with moderate confidence (65%).
• Gemini/Google Report: – Highlights a volatile price history: the 5‑minute chart shows a bounce while the daily chart remains below key averages, causing a longer‑term bearish bias. – Options sentiment and max pain (at $262.50) lean bearish, with significant open interest in puts. – Recommendation: Initiate a bearish naked put trade (e.g. $245 strike option, premium ~0.47).
• Llama/Meta Report: – Underlines short-term bullish momentum on the M5 chart with prices above the short-term EMAs and an RSI near overbought levels. – By contrast, the daily chart is in decline (price below 50‑ and 200‑period EMAs) and notes max pain at $262.50. – Recommendation: With a moderately bearish bias, it suggests buying a naked put at about the $267.50 strike.
• Claude/Anthropic Report: – Focuses on a strong M5 trend (price trading above the moving averages and rising RSI) with a neutral daily RSI. – News catalysts (e.g. favorable tariff comments) and falling overall volatility support a moderately bullish setup. – Recommendation: Buy a call option—though at a slightly lower strike ($280) and at a higher premium (~$3.05) than would ideally fit our target premium window.