TSM Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-11

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TSM Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-11)

Below is a consolidated analysis of the TSM weekly options setup based on the four reports, followed by our clear conclusion and recommended trade.

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Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points

• Grok/xAI Report  – Noted that although TSM has risen strongly (daily close near $212.46 with a 30‐day gain of 30%), the daily RSI is very high (80.79) and the price is near the top of its Bollinger Band.  – Technical indicators (EMA, MACD) show bullish momentum on intraday charts, but caution is advised due to overbought conditions.  – It recommends buying a naked call at the $217.50 strike—aiming to capture further upside, but acknowledges the risk that overbought conditions may force a pullback.

• Llama/Meta Report  – Confirms that on very short (M5) timeframes, price remains above its key moving averages and is bullish; however, on the daily scale, the stock’s overbought state (RSI ≈80.8) and proximity to resistance give pause.  – Although the report notes bullish elements, it favors a trade that benefits from a reversion toward the max pain level at $205.00 and recommends buying puts.