UNH Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-15
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UNH Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-15)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: UNH at $274.35 is below 50- and 200-EMAs on daily/weekly frames but above the 10-EMA on M15. Daily and weekly RSI deeply oversold; Bollinger bands contracting. MACD shows short-term bullish divergence but longer-term bearish momentum. Sentiment: DOJ fraud probe is a strong negative catalyst but VIX at 18.62 is calm. Max pain at $315 suggests distant resistance. Directional Call: Moderately bullish mean reversion play into oversold levels. Strategy: Buy May 30 $275 calls at $17.50, target a 50% option gain, stop if UNH < $265 or option loses 25%, hold 5–7 days. Confidence 75%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Severe breakdown with UNH -28.8% over 5 days, -47.6% over 30 days. Daily/weekly RSI extremely oversold; no reversal patterns. Sentiment: DOJ probe is strong bearish catalyst; VIX ~18.6 normal. Puts show heavy volume and OI. Directional Call: Moderately bearish continuation with acknowledgement of oversold bounce risk. Strategy: Buy May 30 $265 puts at $13.80, profit at $17.25 (25% gain), stop at $9.66 (30% loss), maximum hold 7 days, partial exit at +15%. Confidence 75%.
Llama/Meta Report