UNH Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-18

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UNH Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-18)

Summary of Each Model’s Key Points

Grok/xAI Report

UNH is deeply oversold on daily/weekly charts (RSI ≈ 18), but the 15-min EMA and MACD show a short-term bounce. Insider buying and a VIX decline support a contrarian bullish bias. Max-pain at $297.50 suggests a move up from $291.91. Recommends buying the $292.50 call (ask $16.50), target +20%, stop –30%, hold ≤ 7 days. Confidence: 72%.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Confirms extreme 5- and 30-day declines with UNH well below all longer-term EMAs. Daily RSI (18) and flattening MACD histogram signal a potential mean-reversion. Insider buying and max-pain ($297.50) imply an upward pull. Recommends buying the $300 call (ask $13.20, OI 1,801) expiring May 30, 2025. Targets +50% gain, stops at –40%, exit by May 29. Confidence: 72%.

Llama/Meta Report

Acknowledges extreme oversold (RSI low, lower Bollinger Bands) and insider buying. Notes the available calls ($292.50 ask $16.50 and higher) are too expensive relative to a small-account premium target. Concludes no trade due to poor risk/reward and high premium requirement. Confidence in directional bounce is moderate, but trade confidence < 70%.