UNH Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-16

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UNH Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-16)

Model Summaries

Grok/xAI Report

Technicals: UNH is in a strong downtrend (5-day –28.9%, 30-day –47.6%), trading well below its EMAs on daily and M5 charts. Daily RSI is extremely oversold (7.01); M5 RSI is neutral (44.7). MACD is bearish on both timeframes. Sentiment: VIX is normal (17.8), trending lower. News is neutral. Max Pain at $280 suggests a squeeze up to that level. View: Strongly bearish. Trade: Buy the $267.50 put (premium $0.92) at open. Profit target +50% to $1.38; stop-loss if premium < $0.50 or UNH > $282. Confidence 65%.

Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: UNH is far below daily EMAs but finding short-term support M5. Daily RSI is oversold (7.01); M5 RSI 44.7. MACD bearish but decelerating. Support near $265; resistance near $275. Sentiment: VIX normal, max pain $280. Strong put OI at $270 and good liquidity at $265 put. No fresh negative news. View: Moderately bullish (expect a relief bounce toward $280). Trade: Buy the $280 call (mid $1.85). Profit target +50% (~$2.78); stop-loss 50% ($0.92). Exit by 2 PM. Confidence 65%.

Llama/Meta Report

Technicals: UNH below all major EMAs; daily RSI 7.01 (oversold); M5 RSI 44.7. Bollinger Bands widening, MACD bearish. Sentiment: VIX falling. Max Pain $280 seems unlikely against the downtrend. View: Moderately bearish. Trade: Buy the $267.50 put (ask $0.92). Profit target +50%; stop‐loss if premium < $0.50 or UNH > $272.50. Confidence 70%.

DeepSeek Report