UNH Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-19
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UNH Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-19)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Moderately bullish. Price above all EMAs but overbought on M5 RSI. Recommends buying the $320 call expiring 2025-05-23, profit target $9.00, stop-loss $3.75, confidence 65%. Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish. Overbought short-term, daily downtrend persists, max pain at $290. Recommends buying the $300 put expiring 2025-05-23, profit target ~30%, stop-loss ~20%, confidence 65%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish. Mixed M5/daily signals, max pain at $290. Recommends buying the $307.50 put expiring 2025-05-23 at $5.00 premium, stop-loss 100%, profit 50%, confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Moderately bullish. Strong news catalyst (CEO buy, 8% rally), M5 bullish momentum. Recommends buying the $340 call expiring 2025-05-23 at $2.95, profit targets $4.40–$5.90, stop-loss $1.47, confidence 70%. DeepSeek: Moderately bullish. Insider buying, daily RSI bounce. Recommends buying the $320 call expiring 2025-05-23 at $7.35 premium, targeting a 50% gain, stop-loss at $311.90 break, confidence 65%. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: All models note strong short-term momentum but overbought M5 RSI. Consensus on significant insider buying/news catalyst. Weekly expiry and high liquidity are preferred. Disagreement: Direction splits (3 bullish vs. 2 bearish). Strike selection varies: calls at $320 and $340 vs. puts at $300 and $307.50. Profit targets and stop-loss levels differ. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bullish. The majority view is that the strong news catalyst and short-term momentum outweigh overbought signals for at least 1–2 days. Recommended Trade: Buy UNH weekly call. Strategy: Single‐leg, naked call. Expiration: 2025-05-23 weekly. Premium Consideration: $7.50 per contract (within acceptable risk/reward). Entry Timing: Enter at market open. Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • M5 RSI overbought may trigger a pullback at the open. • Max pain at $290 is a bearish force into expiration. • Broad market sell-off or negative news could reverse momentum. • Time decay accelerates later in the week; limit hold to 1–2 days if no clear move.