UPST Earnings Signal (2025-05-06)
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UPST Earnings Analysis Summary (2025-05-06)
# Model Reports Summary
## Grok/xAI Report - Historical move magnitude ~18.8% around earnings, slight bearish tilt but mixed. - Pre-earnings price action is overbought (RSI 75.98) with elevated call open interest at the $52 strike. - Sector peers positive, falling VIX, and AI partnership news suggest a **Moderately Bullish** setup. - Recommends buying the 52-strike call (May 9 expiry) at $5.05.
## Claude/Anthropic Report - Mixed historical reactions, high valuation (forward P/E 134.93) and overbought TS (RSI 75.98). - Stock below 200-day MA and high expectations create downside risk. - Concludes a **Moderately Bearish** bias. - Recommends buying the $48 put (May 9 expiry) at $3.85.
## Llama/Meta Report - Bullish options flow (call volume > puts) and positive earnings history. - Elevated IV is normal pre-earnings; technicals supportive of a near-term breakout. - Directional bias: **Moderately Bullish**. - Recommends buying the $55 call (May 9 expiry) at $3.80.
## DeepSeek Report - Expensive premiums relative to expected move; overbought technicals and mixed catalysts. - Risk/reward unattractive under single-leg rules. - Directional bias: **Neutral/Unclear**. - **No Trade** recommended.
## Gemini/Google Report - Strong catalyst in Walmart partnership news, high revenue/EPS estimates. - Overbought but significant upside if expectations are met; falling VIX provides some tailwind. - Directional bias: **Moderately Bullish**. - Recommends buying the $56 call (May 9 expiry) at $3.50.