VALE Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-30
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VALE Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-30)
Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Technicals: VALE at $9.13, below key MAs on M15/daily/weekly. RSI oversold on short-term, neutral to bearish longer-term. MACD bearish across all charts. Support ~$9.02; resistance ~$9.48. – Sentiment: VIX moderate, some positive news but no strong catalyst. Max pain $9.50 adds downward pull. – Trade: Buy 2025-06-13 $9.50 puts at $0.47. Profit target +50% ($0.70), stop-loss −20% ($0.376). Hold 5–10 days. Size 1–2% account. Confidence 75%.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Technicals: Oversold RSI on M15/daily; bullish divergence on MACD M15; price testing lower BB on all timeframes. Support $9.02–$9.08, resistance $9.43–$9.51. – Sentiment: Falling VIX, analyst upgrade, max pain at $9.50. Heavy put flow at $9.00 but max pain suggests upward pull. – Trade: Buy 2025-06-13 $9.50 calls at $0.47. Target $0.70 (50%) and $0.94 (100%); stop-loss $0.28 (−40%). Hold 7 days. Confidence 75%.
• Llama/Meta Report – Technicals: Strong bearish trend below all EMAs; RSI daily at 32 oversold; MACD negative; price near lower BB. – Sentiment: Neutral news offset by sector headwinds. Max pain $9.50 may not overcome bearish momentum. – Trade: Buy 2025-06-13 $9.00 puts at $0.13. Target +50% ($0.195), stop if VALE closes >$9.50. Hold 5–7 days. Confidence 75%.