VALE Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-02
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VALE Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-02)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals show short-term bearish bias (price below 10-EMA, MACD bearish) but neutral medium-term, RSI near 38% and price near lower Bollinger band. Market sentiment: Trump steel tariff news is bearish for Vale; max-pain at $9.50 suggests resistance. Recommends buying the $9.50 put at $0.40 for a short-term bearish play, 50% profit target, 50% stop-loss.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals (5m and daily) confirm bearish momentum: price below all EMAs, bearish MACD, RSI near oversold. Negative catalyst: iron ore futures slump on tariff news. VIX normal. Suggests buy $9.00 put (premium ~$0.03) with large upside potential (target $0.08-$0.10), 50% stop-loss, exit by Thursday.
Llama/Meta Report
Confirms bearish trend on both M5 and daily charts; price below EMAs, bearish MACD, RSI oversold but not extreme. News negative, max-pain at $9.50 a counter-force. Recommends buy $9.00 put at $0.05, profit 50-75%, stop-loss 100-150% of premium, hold to expiry.