VIX Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-17
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VIX Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-17)
Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Technicals (15m, daily, weekly) show VIX deeply in a down-trend but oversold on daily RSI and near lower Bollinger bands. Support at $16.97; resistance at $18.00 (max pain). – Market sentiment mixed but max pain at $18.00 and heavy put OI at $17.00 argue for a bounce. – Directional bias: Moderately Bullish on VIX. – Trade callout: Buy the $17.00 put (premium $0.30) anticipating a short-term rise in VIX. Confidence 75%.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – VIX is below all EMAs on multi-timeframe charts, daily RSI oversold, weekly MACD bearish but easing. Max pain at $18. – Sentiment mixed; recent calm but warnings of further volatility. – Directional bias: Moderately Bullish on VIX. – Trade callout: Buy the $18.00 call (premium $0.86) for a mean-reversion bounce toward max pain. Confidence 72%.