VIX Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-06-18

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VIX Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-06-18)

VIX Weekly Options Trade Analysis & Recommendation

1. Technical Analysis Synthesis

5-Minute Chart:

The VIX is currently trading at $19.96, below the 10-period (20.38) and 50-period (20.37) EMAs, indicating near-term bearish sentiment. The RSI at 44.87 is neutral, showing no decisive overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD is slightly negative, reinforcing a bearish structure. Daily Chart:

The VIX has recently broken higher but is showing rejection at resistance levels. Trading at $20.45 with a 50-period EMA at $21.03 creates a bearish sentiment. The MACD is below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum, while an RSI of 56.47 signifies neutral ground without being overbought.

2. Market Sentiment Integration

Current Volatility: The VIX at 20.45 indicates elevated market fears, mirroring global uncertainties. Max Pain Level: The max pain point is at $18.00, significantly below the current price, suggesting potential downward pull. Call vs. Put Dynamics: Stronger put volumes indicate market sentiment leaning towards bearish hedging. The higher open interest in puts signifies a better potential downside.