XLF Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-22

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XLF Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-22)

Model Summaries Grok/xAI • Short-term (15m): bearish—price below 50/200 EMA, MACD negative, RSI ~39.5. • Daily: neutral/slightly bullish but slowing—price below 10 EMA, MACD histogram waning. • Weekly: longer-term bullish—price above EMAs, MACD positive. • VIX elevated; max pain $47.50. • Recommendation: buy the June 6 $50 put at $0.63; profit target ~$0.315 (50%), stop if XLF > $50.50. Confidence 75%.

Claude/Anthropic • Short-term weakness below MAs; daily MACD bearish crossover. • Rising VIX; max pain supports downside; heavier put OI at $48.00. • Recommendation: buy June 6 $49 put at $0.40; first TP $0.60, final TP $0.80; SL $0.20; hold 8 days. Confidence 75%.

Gemini/Google • M15 and daily charts bearish; weekly still bullish but losing steam. • VIX climbing; max pain at $47.50; heavy put interest. • Recommendation: buy June 6 $50 put @ $0.60–0.65; TP1 $0.95, TP2 $1.25; SL $0.31; hold 5–7 days. Confidence 75%.